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' “Suddenly, I thought I heard a slight movement in the slops pail behind me,” Miss Xinran remembers.

Within ten years, the academy said, one in five young men would be unable to find a bride because of the dearth of young women—a figure unprecedented in a country at peace.XINRAN XUE, a Chinese writer, describes visiting a peasant family in the Yimeng area of Shandong province. “We had scarcely sat down in the kitchen”, she writes (see article), “when we heard a moan of pain from the bedroom next door…The cries from the inner room grew louder—and abruptly stopped.There was a low sob, and then a man's gruff voice said accusingly: ‘Useless thing!Gendercide—to borrow the title of a 1985 book by Mary Anne Warren—is often seen as an unintended consequence of China's one-child policy, or as a product of poverty or ignorance. The surplus of bachelors—called in China , or “bare branches”— seems to have accelerated between 19, in ways not obviously linked to the one-child policy, which was introduced in 1979.

For comparison, there are 23m boys below the age of 20 in Germany, France and Britain combined and around 40m American boys and young men.So within ten years, China faces the prospect of having the equivalent of the whole young male population of America, or almost twice that of Europe's three largest countries, with little prospect of marriage, untethered to a home of their own and without the stake in society that marriage and children provide.